FC Nantes travels to Metz for a crucial Ligue 1 match. The Canaries, 17th with 17 points, face the Grenats, 18th with 14 points. This direct duel between two clubs fighting for their survival in the top division could be decisive in the relegation battle. FC Nantes approaches this match with a three-point lead over their opponent and a game in hand against Paris Saint-Germain, the league leader. The Canaries have a particularity this season: they perform better away than at home, ranking 15th in away teams. And with 14 points in 28 games, FC Metz is the league's bottom team. At home, the situation is not much more reassuring: the Grenats are 17th in the championship at their own stadium this season. A statistic that illustrates the inability of the Lorraine club to show more solidity at Saint-Symphorien, where the points to be taken are nevertheless the most accessible. The 45 matches played between the two clubs in Lorraine draw a perfectly balanced record: 18 Messina wins, 18 Nantes wins, 9 draws. Neither team can claim a significant historical advantage on this pitch. So who will win this fear match? According to Opta's projections, FC Nantes starts with a slight advantage, carried by a superior collective level at the moment and better performances away from home. FC Metz, despite the support of their audience, presents the weakest indicators of the two sides — both at home and in the real-time ranking. For the Grenats, getting the three points this Sunday would be a performance above what their current statistics suggest. But the Canaries are given a 38% chance of winning, compared to 33% for Metz at home. The draw is estimated at 27%. The match odds are as follows: Metz win = 2.88, draw = 3.25, Nantes win = 2.41. Habib Diallo scoring for Metz = 3.20, Ignatius Ganago scoring for Nantes = 3.50.